巴菲特致股东的信(1982年)
②公司长期业绩


Long-Term Corporate Performance

     Our gain in net worth during 1982, valuing equities held by our insurance subsidiaries at market value (less capital gain taxes payable if unrealized gains were actually realized) amounted to $208 million. On a beginning net worth base of $519 million, the percentage gain was 40%.

公司长期业绩

1982年伯克希尔净值的成长,(保险子公司持有的股票以市价计,扣除未实现资本利得的潜在税负)大约是二亿零八百万美金,相较于期初净值五亿一千九百万,约有40%的成长。

     During the 18-year tenure of present management, book value has grown from $19.46 per share to $737.43 per share, or 22.0% compounded annually. You can be certain that this percentage will diminish in the future. Geometric progressions eventually forge their own anchors.

在现今经营阶层接掌公司的十八年里,帐面价值由原先的每股19.46美元成长到现在的每股737.43美元,约当22.0%年复合成长率,可以确定的这个比率在未来将减少。

     Berkshire’s economic goal remains to produce a long-term rate of return well above the return achieved by the average large American corporation. Our willingness to purchase either partial or total ownership positions in favorably-situated businesses, coupled with reasonable discipline about the prices we are willing to pay, should give us a good chance of achieving our goal.

伯克希尔的经济目标是希望获得高于一般美国企业的长期报酬率,我们愿意以合理的价格购买全部或部份具竞争力的企业,有助于我们达成上述目标。 

     Again this year the gain in market valuation of partially-owned businesses outpaced the gain in underlying economic value of those businesses. For example, $79 million of our $208 million gain is attributable to an increased market price for GEICO. This company continues to do exceptionally well, and we are more impressed than ever by the strength of GEICO’s basic business idea and by the management skills of Jack Byrne. (Although not found in the catechism of the better business schools, “Let Jack Do It” works fine as a corporate creed for us.)

再一次的我们不具控制权的股权投资其市值成长高于其实质经济利益的成长,举例来说,在二亿零八百万当中有七千九百万是由于盖可保险市值的成长,这家公司持续表现优异,我们一再对该公司经营理念的实践与经营阶层的管理能力感到印象深刻(虽然不是名校出身,但让Jack试着看看的结果,证实我们的眼光并成为我们企业的信念)。

     However, GEICO’s increase in market value during the past two years has been considerably greater than the gain in its intrinsic business value, impressive as the latter has been. We expected such a favorable variation at some point, as the perception of investors converged with business reality. And we look forward to substantial future gains in underlying business value accompanied by irregular, but eventually full, market recognition of such gains.

然而盖可保险在市值的成长却远超过本身内含价值的成长,虽然后者一样令人印象深刻,而当投资大众逐渐认清现实状况时,我们相信市值将会反映其真正价值。

     Year-to-year variances, however, cannot consistently be in our favor. Even if our partially-owned businesses continue to perform well in an economic sense, there will be years when they perform poorly in the market. At such times our net worth could shrink significantly. We will not be distressed by such a shrinkage; if the businesses continue to look attractive and we have cash available, we simply will add to our holdings at even more favorable prices.

而每年的差异变化不会永远都对我们有利,就算我们的部份公司每年都表现很好,也不一定保证在股市的表现一定很好,而那时伯克希尔的净值便会大幅缩减,但我们不会感到沮丧,如果这家公司一直都是那么吸引人而我们手头上又刚好有现金,我们便会再逢低增加持股。

〔译文基于梁孝永康所编《巴菲特致合伙人+致股东的信全集》修改完善〕

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